Brits looking for staycation face scorching summer with weeks of sunshine

The outlook is bright for staycation Brits after a leading long-range weather forecaster predicted a hot summer with day-after-day of sunshine.

Holidaymakers are set to spend £62 billion on the UK breaks this year with hotels, cottages, campsites and caravans booked up months in advance amid uncertainty over coronavirus foreign travel rules.

And those who stay local are set to be rewarded by the weather.

According to the forecasting site The Weather Outlook – studied by a million people a month – July and August will be warmer and drier than usual.

From June 23 the website predicts 14 straight days of sunshine.

Average temperatures of more than 70F [21C] are expected on 23 days between May and the end of August.

The weekend to avoid is August 14 and 15 – which is likely to see an anticipated two days of rain.

While it is set to rain for four days in a row in Scotland from May 22.

The website – run by computer scientist turned weather guru Brian Glaze – is one of the few willing to publish detailed daily forecasts for regions of Britain up to 150 days in advance.

Brian, 51, said: "I would not like to make any claims about the accuracy of specific long-range forecasts. The point is not to look at, say, what the weather will be like on July 10, but to try to identify trends as the data feed updates every day.''

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Brian takes his raw data from seasonal computer models developed by national meteorological institutions around the world.

These provide broad-brush indications' of trends which he assesses on a global scale and compares with historical weather patterns taking into account signs of long-term climate change.

The Met Office shies away from Glaze's detailed daily long-term forecasts but publishes a three-month outlook for Britain.

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Its forecast for June will appear on its website on March 29. Professor Adam Scaife, who is head of the Met Office's monthly to decadal prediction, said his team uses the state of the atmosphere and ocean and laws of physics to make forecasts.

"There is a sensitivity to small changes in the atmosphere that can grow into big things,'' he said.

Four out of five Brits are planning a staycation, according to

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Bank of England economists estimate families have stashed away an extra £170 billion due to Covid-19 restrictions which they plan to splash out on UK breaks.

Robin Hutson, chairman of the Pig Hotels and Limewood Group chains, said: "We've been overwhelmed with demand for staycations since the beginning of the year. We are currently 92% booked till the end of September.''

Bosses at Center Parcs report "very strong demand" for both summer and autumn breaks, with a spokesman adding: "We are seeing bookings further out as well.''

Daniel Thompson, general manager of Mullin Cove in Cornwall, said customers were splashing out a bit more on their trips.

"Our higher standard rooms were booked out before our standard rooms,'' he said.

"We are turning people away. We are at 100% occupancy until mid-September.''

Peter Ducker, chief executive of the Institute of Hospitality, said the investment in UK holidays would be a godsend injecting "desperately needed revenue".

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